El Niño Climate Monitor and Forecasts

My location

One place, the whole timeline: choose a location and see recent climate anomalies, and the forecast for the next six weeks to six months.

ERA5 through 2026-08-31 · S2S init 2026-10-03 · C3S init 2026-09

Settings

    Click either map to move the cell — the inset is zoomed, for choosing between neighbors.

    Settings

    What happened

    What is predicted

    Anomalies against the normal for that calendar month. Forecast boxes are the multi-model mean.

    Settings
    Field

    Left of the break is observed, against ERA5 1991–2020. Right of it is forecast, against each model's own hindcast climatology.

    ERA5 reanalysis, © ECMWF / Copernicus Climate Change Service. Sub-seasonal and seasonal guidance via the Climate Data Store. Place names from GeoNames, CC BY 4.0.

    Questions, corrections or requests? Get in touch.